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中国楼市:一手数据不靠谱还是二手更真实

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发表于 2013-10-11 16:37:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
日前,满堂红市场研究部发布报告显示,今年10月1日~10月7日,经满堂红地产促成的二手住宅买卖均价为19540元/m2,比去年同期大幅上升38%,大涨5381元/m2。该报告进一步指出,假如以100万元总价做预算,去年可以买71平方米的单位,今年则只能买51平方米的单位,一年时间,同样价格下,面积已“蒸发”掉20平方米。而在同期,有统计数据显示,国庆假期前六天,中国十区二市一手楼成交均价为9423元/m2,同比下降18%。
    一手住宅成交均价还不足万元,而二手楼价却已达到近2万元/m2,面对这一组直观的对比数据,一直忙于看楼的阮小姐向记者抱怨道:“你满大街去找找看,现在哪里还有1万元/m2以下的一手楼?真不知道这个统计数据公布出来有何实际意义?摆明了就是大忽悠。”事实上,由于受政府指导价的影响,如今,基本上大部分新开的楼盘采用的都是“双合同”,因此当下市场显现的一手住宅成交均价其实已缺乏了实际的参考意义,反而是二手住宅的成交均价更贴近市场。同时,权重楼盘对一手住宅的价格影响也相当大。国庆期间中国销售前三位的楼盘分别为碧桂园豪园、碧桂园天玺湾和恒大山水城,成交均价分别为7359元/m2、8189元/m2及6284元/m2。需要提醒的是,这当中有些也是脱了装修的毛坯价,离真正的成交均价其实差了一大截。
    自今年三四月中国实行了更严格的区域指导价和限网签后,统计数据就与市场现实严重脱钩,因为如果楼盘售价高于指导价,起码要推迟3个月到半年才能办网签,所以才会出现那么多“双合同”以及某些区域的“零成交”。现阶段,一手网签的成交价格不可信,建议买家多参考同区二手楼的成交价,或许得到的信息才是贴近市场的真实价格。

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