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中国楼市:国庆二手行情惨淡

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发表于 2013-10-11 16:37:15 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
和一手楼盘门庭若市的场面不同,国庆期间特别是长假前五天的二手地铺可谓门可罗雀。业内人士介绍,受一手楼盘的冲击,加上房贷收紧、二手楼价走高等多重因素影响,国庆长假的二手楼市整体惨淡。不过随着传统年底置业旺季的到来及部分对比过一二手楼的看楼者逐渐回流二手市场,二手楼市的又一波好行情即将到来。
中心区地铺每间店七天只卖了一套房
国庆到一手楼盘看楼的人会发现,现场除了楼盘自身的销售人员外,还有许多挂着经纪牌子的“流动”经纪,没错,他们就是原本二手中介的地产经纪。为何二手经纪都跑到一手楼盘去了?“国庆的二手成交很淡的,所以大家都热衷一二手联动去了,”满堂红经纪梁先生告诉记者。记者从合富置业获悉,国庆期间,该公司把七成的人员都派去了一手楼现场促销,只留下三成人员坚守二手市场。
国庆期间,记者走访越秀、荔湾、海珠、黄埔和天河等几个中心区看到,绝大多数的二手楼地铺都门可罗雀,哪怕是在锦城花园外面梅东路地产一条街的七八间店铺门前,也是只有路过之人,经纪们空闲地站在地铺门前聊天。“1-4日很少人来看房,每间店一天大概只接待两个看房客;5日以后才好转,每间店一天大约有5个看房客”,中联地产黄埔区相关负责人邱记华说,国庆假期大约每间店只卖出一套二手房。“国庆期间到天河北板块看房量比平时减少了20%左右,而成交量则降低了一半,”中原地产天河金海二分行高级营业经理耿伟介绍。天河员村板块行情也一样,中原地产东璟花园分行营业经理李景波介绍,国庆期间到该店看楼的人数只是往日的五成左右。
国庆成交惨淡在中介们看来是正常的,合富置业、中原地产等行表示国庆的二手成交量和去年同期相近,而满堂红的数据则显示,今年国庆该行的二手住宅成交量同比增加了23%,但和今年9月同期相比则减少了4成。
价高,贷紧,买家置业门槛更高
一手楼价在涨,带动二手楼价也在上涨。国庆期间,通过中介成交的二手住宅成交价已达2万元/平方米左右,同比涨幅达三成多;满堂红市场研究部高级经理周峰介绍,七天长假期间该行的二手住宅成交均价为1.95万元/平方米,比9月同期上涨了1.4%,同比则大涨了38%;合富置业方面国庆期间的成交价更高,达2.52万元/平方米,“同比也有33.9%的涨幅”,该行市场经理梁燕明介绍。在中原地产的统计中,天河、越秀、荔湾、海珠等区域的二手楼成交均价都在2.2万-3万元/平方米,白云区和番禺区的二手均价则也要1.6万元/平方米左右。
楼价高企的同时,二手房房贷收紧对买家也是一个负担。周峰介绍,国庆期间的信贷情况不理想,买家们的贷款申请审批时间起码都要一个月以上,也不一定能成功放贷。“有些业主就不喜欢拖太久,他们的还价难度就增大了,有成交的个案,基本都是在业主的放盘价位上成交的,极个别的还要在放盘价的基础上再提高3%-4%才能成交。”据介绍,国庆期间该行一次性付款的客户占比达53.8%,纯商业贷款的比例则不足8%。梁燕明也告诉记者:“房贷收紧的影响正在逐渐显现,有部分业主要求买家增加首付或直接一次性付款,这在一定程度上提高了买家的购房门槛。”
预计二手旺市随后到来
尽管国庆期间的二手成交比较惨淡,但业内人士对国庆之后的二手行情纷纷表示看好,认为这波好行情将从10月份中下旬开始并延续到年底。

梁燕明表示,尽管目前市中心二手楼价连续半年上涨,与年初相比已经有一成多的增幅,但与目前市中心在售的一手项目相比,一二手楼价之间仍存在较明显的差距,因此,早在黄金周之前就已有对比了一手楼盘价格后回流到二手市场看房的情况出现,梁燕明预计,在国庆之后的两三周时间内,买家回流二手市场看房的情况将更加明显,尤其是市中心成熟路段回流现象将更为突出,届时有望带动相关区域二手市场看房活跃度增长。“以海珠区为例,目前一手市场刚需产品入市门槛基本在280万元以上,而二手市场热门成熟电梯楼两房一般200万元左右就有交易,因此,预计在10月中旬后如昌岗路、江南西等成熟路段内总价200万元左右的电梯楼刚需户型二手房,关注度有望提升。”周峰一样认为,国庆的最后两天看楼者的数量已经有所回升,相信二手楼市从10月中旬开始进入年底的成交旺季。中原地产多个店长也表示,从目前接触到的客户来看,他们的购房意愿比较强烈,个别自住型的刚需买家甚至比较焦急,因此中原地产预期,随着年末的临近,部分刚需客或婚房客将加紧入市,市场需求将再次被推高,在目前多数业主强势心态持续的情况下,如无新的政策出台,未来1-2个月二手楼价将会保持稳定或微升,涨幅会控制在5%以内。

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